Comparing Statistical Model I and Model II

1.  Model I

• Based on seasonal performance, which is more static
• Home and road adjusted
• The Spread is released from VegasInsider
• Unable to take into account recent events such as player injury

2.  Model II

• Based on recent performance
• Using the average of past 5 games
• The Spread is released from VegasInsider
• Being able to reflect recent events such as players swap 

3.  Betting Game

• This research project is for modeling the NBA ATS (Against The Spread) betting by statistical data..
• The money-making opportunity can be found from "the Spread by VegasInsider" and "the predictions by Model".

4.  Model Comparison

• The Win Rate of Model II is consistently higher than that of Model I
• It looks that the dynamic natures of NBA games need be reflected by the Model.